FNUS76 KMFR 152239
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLIAMS CREEK...ORCA IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
339 PM PDT SAT AUG 15 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1419 PDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY OVER THE BURN AREA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL END UP 5 TO 7 DEGREES WARMER COMPARED
TO SATURDAY. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL REMAIN ALONG THE SOUTH OREGON COAST
INTO SUNDAY MORNING...THEN A DIURNAL SHIFT INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL RESULT IN LESS WIND NEAR THE GROUND AND ALOFT. AT THE SAME TIME AN
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE BURN AREA WHICH WILL LEAD TO POORER
RECOVERIES OVER THE RIDGETOPS AT NIGHT.

THE OUTLOOK FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE RIDGE IS EXPECTED
TO  BUILD INLAND TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES INCREASING TO
10 DEGREES OR MORE ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY. HUMIDITY GETS DRIER WITH
CONTINUED POOR RIDGETOP RECOVERY.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE WIND 1-2 BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 OR LESS FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    2000 FT AGL LATE MORNING...THEN 5000-6000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 1-3 IN THE MORNING...THEN NORTH TO NORTHEAST
                    4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 2-3 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090815.WILLI.01/MFR