FNUS73 KMQT 151035 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR MARSH CREEK NORTH INTERIOR...SENEY NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 635 AM EDT SAT AUG 15 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0630 EDT ON AUGUST 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT...AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO TOP OUT IN THE 80S TODAY. A COOL BREEZE OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM REACHING THE UPPER 80S OVER THE MARSH CREEK BURN. A COLD FRONT...CURRENTLY SET UP OVER THE DAKOTAS SHOULD MOVE OVER THE BURN AREA LATE MONDAY MORNING...WITH OFF AND ON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING EARLY SUNDAY EVENING AND ENDING LATE MONDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME WE ARE STILL FORECASTING DRY WEATHER FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 59 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 TO 28 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (424). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500-3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........50 48 44 41 37 33 31 30 29 27 25 23 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............66 70 72 76 79 81 81 82 82 82 82 80 RH...............100 88 81 72 65 62 60 60 59 60 59 61 GENERAL WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD...4 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 9 8 8 8 GENERAL WIND GST.. 11 14 15 16 14 VINDX KT-FT/100...43 64 87 113 180 276 353 424 404 357 342 295 MIX HGT (KFT)....0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.2 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.7 1.5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 63. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 95 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 TO 35 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (41). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)...........22 21 19 17 15 13 12 14 19 23 27 32 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............79 76 72 70 67 67 66 65 65 64 63 65 RH................65 68 73 77 80 79 77 82 84 90 95 92 GENERAL WIND DIR...S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE GENERAL WIND SPD...6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 GENERAL WIND GST.. VINDX KT-FT/100..259 183 113 58 41 49 65 63 60 58 54 53 MIX HGT (KFT)....1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 62 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 19 TO 38 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (499) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (638) IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-2800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%)...........34 41 49 56 64 74 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE...... TEMP..............66 70 75 77 77 77 RH................92 78 66 62 62 64 GENERAL WIND.... S 7 S 7 S 10 S 11 S 11 S 10 GENERAL GUST......15 15 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100...65 98 308 634 522 299 MIX HGT (FT).....300 400 1500 2800 2000 1000 HAINES INDEX.......4 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...KF GL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090815.MARSH.01/MQT