FNAK79 PAFG 170256
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK  458...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
656 PM AKDT SUN AUG 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1841 AKDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL EXIT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
AREA TONIGHT. MOST OF THE SHOWERS HAVE NOW ENDED...BUT A
BRIEF ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE UNTIL 2100. MONDAY WILL BE A
DRY DAY WITH A LOT OF SUNSHINE OUT A HEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL BE ORGANIZING TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FIRE. THE COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH IN LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A GOOD CHANCE
OF ANOTHER WETTING RAIN.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-70 PERCENT) IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (10-35 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED
                    SHOWER POSSIBLE UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    BECOMING EAST TO NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH BY AROUND
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 TO 800 FT AGL IN AN INVERSION
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE
                    IN DIRECTION 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500 TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH NEAR THE TOP
                    OF THE WELL MIXED LAYER IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. RAIN BECOMING LIKELY BY
LATE IN THE DAY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN TAPERING BACK TO SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090816.BIGCR.02/AFG