FNUS73 KMQT 161759
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK DAM FIRE...GLFFC/MIDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
159 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1212 CDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE THE GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS. SOME GUSTS OF 25 MPH ARE NOT OUT THE QUESTION AS THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. IN ADDITION SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT...EXPECT DRY WEATHER FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 43 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1247).
LAL.................3.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 INCHES...EXCEPT HIGHER IF A THUNDERSTORM OCCURS.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........95     90     82
WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS NUMRUS SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............76     74     74
RH..............70     71     75
GENERAL WIND....S 13   S 10   S 10
GENERAL GUST....25     24     20
VINDX KT-FT/100.1247   1061   774
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE
                    SHOWERS AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 7 TO 12 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........80     70     58     48     43     37
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............74     70     66     65     64     63
RH..............80     88     97     95     92     90
GENERAL WIND....SW 8   SW 8   SW 7   W 7    W 7    W 7
GENERAL GUST....15     15     15     15     15     15

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (539) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (834) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........33     29     25     21     26     33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     68     74     79     79     78
RH..............87     69     52     41     41     43
GENERAL WIND....W 7    W 7    W 6    W 6    W 6    SW 7
GENERAL GUST....15     15     15     10     10     15
VINDX KT-FT/100.180    377    539    830    834    584
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...MRD
REQUESTED BY...J BURNHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090816.ROCKD.01/MQT