FNUS75 KRIW 162034
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR RAMSHORN PEAK...IA CDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
234 PM MDT SUN AUG 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1410 MDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
OVER THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH CURRENT ACTIVITY NEARLY
SURROUNDING THE AREA OF THE FIRE. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL HAVE
POTENTIAL TO BRING GUSTY WIND OF 45 MPH AND SMALL HAIL OVER THE
FIRE THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM PRESENCE WILL WEAKEN DURING THE
LATE EVENING HOURS. COOLING TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT WILL BRING
ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE FIRE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIGHT. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
WILL INTRODUCE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FIRE
MONDAY...WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SIMILAR
THREATS OF GUSTY WIND AND SMALL HAIL WILL ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY. SURFACE WIND
SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRANHAM

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.8 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 5100 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST 15 TO 20.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (33300-81900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) BY
                    2300. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY 0200. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.8 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL BY 0200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6700-43300 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-34 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT
                    8 TO 12 MPH AFTER 1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AT
                    5-10 MPH BY 100. WIND WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY 1500.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH BY 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD (82700 KNOT-FT) BY 1300.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRANHAM
REQUESTED BY...CODY DISPATCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090816.RAMSH.01/RIW