FNUS76 KSEW 162346
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR 10 MILE FIRE...NPS OLYMPIC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
446 PM PDT SUN AUG 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1636 PDT ON AUGUST 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION...LATEST COMPUTER MODELS CONTINUE PREVIOUS TREND OF UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE SLOWLY PUSHING EASTWARD AS THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE BASED
THERMAL TROUGH BUILDS NORTHWARD. ALL THIS POINTS TOWARD A WARMING AND
DRYING TREND THROUGH MID WEEK. SOME DIFFERENCES ON HOW IT ALL ENDS
BUT IN GENERAL MOIST MARINER AIR FILTERS INLAND BY FRIDAY FOR COOLER
HIGH TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES. THIS DOES NOT APPEAR
TO BE A RED FLAG EVENT AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL
IN THE MOUNTAINS AND LOWLANDS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. IT WILL BE
MONITORED CLOSELY THOUGH AS FOREST AND WILD LAND FUEL MOISTURES CAN CHANGE
RATHER QUICKLY.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AFTER PATCHY MORNING VALLEY LOW CLOUDS
CWR.................0%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
HIGH HAINES INDEX...4 OR LOW.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
HIGH HAINES INDEX...4 OR LOW.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
HIGH HAINES INDEX...4 OR LOW.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS LOWER 80S. FREEZING LEVEL
15600 FEET. NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. FREEZING
LEVEL 14200 FEET. NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
FREEZING LEVEL 12700 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PRANGE
REQUESTED BY...TODD RANKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090816.10MIL.01/SEW