FNUS74 KEPZ 171515
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NOGAL...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
915 AM MDT MON AUG 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0905 MDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA SHAFTS AND SIGNIFICANT
CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...

LIMITED MOISTURE MAY BEGIN TO WORK ITS WAY BACK OVER THE BURN SITE
LATER TODAY FROM THE SOUTH...FOR SLIGHT CHANCES AT ACTIVITY BEGINNING
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. CIRCULATION AROUND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF
OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE SENDING ADDITIONAL MOISTURE IN FROM THIS DIRECTION
TUESDAY FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS AT THAT TIME.  STORMS SHOULD
BE NEARLY STATIONARY TODAY...WITH GENERAL MOVEMENT EXPECTED SOUTH TO
NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH TUESDAY.  DRY LIGHTNING AND STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS
APPROACHING OR EVEN EXCEEDING 50 MPH...ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH STORMS
IN THIS ENVIRONMENT.
.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY...SHIFTING SOUTHEAST
                    8 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090817.NOGAL.01/EPZ