FNUS75 KGJT 170538
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR CANYON...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1138 PM MDT SUN AUG 16 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE WEST GRADIENT WINDS WILL RELAX SOMEWHAT TODAY.
THE TODAY'S TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO SUNDAY. SURFACE-BASED
INVERSIONS WILL SET UP QUICKLY BEGINNING JUST BEFORE SUNSET.
TUESDAY MAY BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER. A PASSING DISTURBANCE IN
THE AFTERNOON THREATENS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 1-4 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE. AFTER 1100 WEST 3-6 MPH WITH AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH. AFTERNOON WIND DIRECTION WILL VARY
                    FROM WSW TO WNW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...INCREASING TO
                    10000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 15 MPH BY
                    1100.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MINIMUM OF 3500 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 1-4 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE. AFTER 1100 SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH WITH AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT BY 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...INCREASING TO 10000
                    FT AGL BY 1300. HIGHER NEAR STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090817.TAYLO.01/GJT