FNUS76 KMFR 172245
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLIAMS CREEK...TYPE 3 TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
345 PM PDT MON AUG 17 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1419 PDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
AND A THERMAL TROUGH IN SOUTHWEST OREGON WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP THE OFFSHORE FLOW GOING
OVER THE BURN AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE 5-7 DEGREES WARMER
TUESDAY COMPARED TO MONDAY. RECOVERIES TUESDAY NIGHT WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE POOR WITH THE LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OVER THE
RIDGETOPS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-97 VALLEY. 88-92 RIDETOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-22 PERCENT VALLEY. 19-29 RIDGETOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 1-2 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING NORTH TO
                    NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    2500-3000 FT AGL LATE MORNING. 8500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2-3 MPH EARLY MORNING. NORTHEAST 4-7 MPH LATE
                    MORNING. NORTH TO NORTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 2-3 IN THE MORNING. BECOMING NORTHEAST 4-7 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-58 VALLEY. 61-65 RIDGETOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT VALLEY. 26-36 RIDGETOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 3-5 MPH IN THE EVENING. EAST 1-2
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL EARLY EVENING. DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 11 TO 16 MPH EARLY EVENING.
                    EAST TO NORTHEAST 3-5 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 4-7 MPH IN THE EVENING.
                    EAST 2-3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE KLECKNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090817.WILLI.01/MFR