FNUS76 KMFR 182241
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLIAMS CREEK...TYPE 3 TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
341 PM PDT TUE AUG 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0901 PDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
AND A THERMAL TROUGH IN SOUTHWEST OREGON WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
TONIGHT. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL SHIFT INLAND WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL
LEAD TO DECREASING WINDS OVER THE BURN AREA. THE THERMAL TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF THE BURN AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
THIS WILL ALLOW MARINE AIR TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. THE NET RESULT WILL
BE HIGHER RECOVERIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....97-101 VALLEY. 91-96 RIDGETOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-20 PERCENT VALLEY. 18-25 PERCENT RIDGETOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 1-2 EARLY MORNING. BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2-3
                    MPH LATE MORNING....THEN WEST 3-5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY MORNING. INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL
                    LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 1-2 EARLY MORNING. BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                    4-7 MPH LATE MORNING...THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST
                    8-11 MPH LATE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 2-3 MPH EARLY MORNING. BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    3-5 MPH LATE MORNING. WEST 5-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 VALLEY. 59-63 RIDGETOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-90 PERCENT VALLEY. 68-80 RIDGETOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING. NORTH 1-2 AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL EARLY EVENING...DECREASING TO 500 FT
                    AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH EARLY...BECOMING NORTH AND
                    DECREASING TO 2-4 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH EARLY EVENING...BECOMING NORTH
                    2-3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE KLECKNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090818.WILLI.01/MFR