FNUS75 KGJT 190423
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR CANYON...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1023 PM MDT TUE AUG 18 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION WILL BREAK BY MID-
MORNING AND SET UP AGAIN JUST BEFORE SUNSET. TODAY...A DRY
DISTURBANCE WILL PASS WELL EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL MIX DOWN AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL
BE WEAKER THAN ON TUESDAY. THEN EXPECT A DRY WARMING TREND INTO
THE WEEKEND AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN DRIVEN WITH LIGHT WINDS ALOFT
FROM THE NORTH. A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AT AROUND 15,000 TO
16,000 FEET MSL WILL LIMIT MIXING HEIGHTS BOTH DAYS. MONSOONAL
MOISTURE RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH
                    WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR  UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. BECOMING VERY
                    GOOD BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.


.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR WITH MIXING HEIGHTS COLLAPSING TO LESS
                    THAN 1000 FEET AGL BY 2200.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 1-4 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. AFTER 1100 WEST 2-5 MPH
                    WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR.
                    AFTER 1400...GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY SPETTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090819.TAYLO.01/GJT