FNUS75 KPUB 200801
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT MASSIVE...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
201 AM MDT THU AUG 20 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AS OF 145 AM...HIGHER ELEVATION MESONET STATIONS WERE INDICATING WINDS
FROM THE WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS WERE NOTED IN THE
SATELLITE IMAGERY...BUT KLXV WAS INDICATING CLEAR SKIES.

PLEASE NOTE THAT WE DO NOT HAVE ANY WEATHER DATA FOR SUCH HIGH
ELEVATIONS SO WIND FORECAST INFORMATION BELOW MAY BE UNDERDONE.
PLEASE INFORM US IF WINDS ARE NOT REPRESENTATIVE.

FOR THE WIND FORECAST...I USED THE 700 MB FORECASTED WIND FLOW OFF OF
THE LATEST NAM MODEL FOR GUIDANCE.

NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER COLORADO0.
WINDS WILL BE RATHER LIGHT. NOT MUCH (IF ANY) CLOUDS ARE ANTICIPATED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 8 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL
                    0500...THEN WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10500 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...ANDY CULLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20090820.MTMAS.01/PUB