FNUS75 KPUB 211351
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT MASSIVE...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
751 AM MDT FRI AUG 21 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE 4 CORNERS
REGION SHOULD KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR OVER THE SITE TODAY.  THERE
IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM COULD DEVELOP
NEAR THE SITE LATE TODAY OR EARLY THIS EVENING...BUT THE ODDS OF
THIS HAPPENING ARE PROBABLY LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.  A FEW BUILDUPS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE NOTED TO THE SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE AS
A LITTLE BIT OF MONSOON MOISTURE BEGINS TO CREEP NORTHWARD INTO THE
SOUTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS LATE IN THE DAY.  MONSOON MOISTURE WILL
CREEP SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT LEADING TO A BETTER CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL UNTIL 1000. 11000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE 3-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN SOUTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY SUNNY (50
                    PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 13500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20090821.MTMAS.01/PUB