FNUS74 KEPZ 221547 AAA
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ALLIE...NM-SDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
947 AM MDT SAT AUG 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0931 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL TX NORTHWEST TO
NORTHERN UTAH THIS MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  TOMORROW THE ORIENTATION OF THE
UPPER HIGH BECOMES NE-SW AS AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED

THIS PATTERN WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY. BEYOND TUESDAY
COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE SOME DRYING...HOWEVER FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
LOW.

HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-100 PERCENT). A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE
                    BEFORE NOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS TO 22 NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
VENT RATE...FAIR (45000 KT-FT) THIS MORNING...GOOD (85000 KT-FT)
            THIS AFTERNOON


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 22 NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
VENT RATE...POOR-FAIR (LESS THAN 50000 KT-FT) IN THE MORNING...GOOD
            TO VERY GOOD(90000-110000 KT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MACBLAIN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090822.ALLIE.01/EPZ