FNUS74 KEPZ 221450 FWSEPZ FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MORAGA...GILA NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 850 AM MDT SAT AUG 22 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0803 MDT ON AUGUST 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL TX NORTHWEST TO NORTHERN UTAH THIS MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. TOMORROW THE ORIENTATION OF THE UPPER HIGH BECOMES NE-SW AS AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED THIS PATTERN WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY. BEYOND TUESDAY COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE SOME DRYING...HOWEVER FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW. HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CWR.................30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....7500 FT 77-82. 9000 FT 70-75. MIN HUMIDITY........7500 FT 28-33 PERCENT. 9000 FT 38-43 PERCENT WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-55. MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 11 MPH EARLY BECOMING DOWNSLOPE DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....7500 FT 77-82. 9000 FT 70-75. MIN HUMIDITY........7500 FT 28-33 PERCENT. 9000 FT 38-43 PERCENT WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THUNDERSTORMS. $$ FORECASTER...MACBLAIN REQUESTED BY...JARED FISHER REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU .TAG 20090822.MORAG.01/EPZ