FNUS74 KEPZ 221611
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TURKEY PEN RX...NM-MEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1011 AM MDT SAT AUG 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL TX NORTHWEST TO
NORTHERN UTAH THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SOMEWHAT
SUPPRESSED BY THIS HIGH TODAY THERE SHOULD STILL BE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. TOMORROW...HOWEVER...THE ORIENTATION
OF THE HIGH BECOMES NE-SW AS AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
THIS WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THIS PATTERN WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY. BEYOND TUESDAY
COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE SOME DRYING...HOWEVER FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
LOW.

HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS IN THE GILA
REGION AND SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT AFTER
                    2100L.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH. EARLY BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
                    DOWNVALLEY 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MACBLAIN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090822.TURKE.01/EPZ