FNUS75 KMSO 222104
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR LILY LAKE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
304 PM MDT SAT AUG 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1414 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE PRESENT NEAR THE BURN AREA DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AND WARM SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL MAINTAIN A THUNDERSTORM THREAT DURING THIS TIME.
LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH
ACTIVITY WANING OVERNIGHT AND PEAKING IN INTENSITY DURING SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MUCH OF THE THUNDERSTORMS PRESENT NEAR THE
BURN AREA TODAY ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO PRODUCE WETTING RAINS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-7 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ZUMPFE
REQUESTED BY...DOUG CAFFEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090822.LILYL.01/MSO