FNUS73 KOAX 240934 FWSOAX SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLY PROJECT...BIA-WINNEBAGO AGENCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 434 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS. AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA BY OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. A BREAK IS EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE SOUTH. THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED BE SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE DAY TODAY THEN SWITCH TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND CONTINUED HIGH DEW POINTS...WILL LEAD TO HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND LIMITED MIXING ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO WORK INTO THE AREA BY THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 33 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........22 24 25 27 30 35 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............62 68 76 82 85 86 RH..............87 75 62 54 49 50 20 FT WIND......SE 12 S 14 S 16 S 17 S 18 S 16 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 30 25 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10 TO 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........39 44 52 58 66 77 WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............83 76 72 70 68 66 RH..............57 72 79 82 84 87 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 9 S 8 S 7 E 6 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........85 82 78 75 73 71 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............65 70 76 80 82 83 RH..............90 77 63 54 50 48 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 6 NE 7 N 7 N 7 N 6 20 FT WIND GUST. HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...BOUSTEAD REQUESTED BY...DUWAYNE TRAVERSIE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090824.KELLY.01/OAX