FNUS73 KDDC 250958 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR DARRYNANE A B...USFWS QUIVIRA NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 458 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON AUGUST 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOOK FOR SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING AT 5 TO 15 MPH AND SUNNY SKIES. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AROUND 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH FROM THE HAYS AREA TODAY AND BE NEAR DODGE CITY AND GARDEN CITY BY LATE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE MAINLY NORTH TODAY THEN SPREAD SOUTH TONIGHT. LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MUCH OF WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AS UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 15 SHIFTING NORTH AROUND 1 PM. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5000-6800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 7100-8600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........22 31 34 40 46 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............81 89 93 95 94 RH..............60 45 40 37 39 20 FT WIND......S 9 SW 6 SW 5 W 5 NW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 10 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 9 SW 6 N 5 N 12 NW 7 WIND GUST..20 15 15 20 15 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........48 54 60 67 74 81 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............91 80 75 72 70 68 RH..............42 62 79 87 90 93 20 FT WIND......N 8 N 7 N 7 N 8 N 6 N 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 8 N 7 N 7 N 8 N 6 N 6 WIND GUST..15 15 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........86 87 88 90 91 92 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............66 70 75 79 81 81 RH..............97 84 74 67 60 58 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 8 N 9 N 8 N 8 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 6 N 8 N 9 N 8 N 8 N 8 WIND GUST..10 15 20 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...KRUSE REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090825.DARRY.01/DDC