FNUS73 KDDC 252127 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR DARRYNANE A B...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 427 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1620 CDT ON AUGUST 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM NEAR HAYS DOWN TO LIBERAL, WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS BY THIS EVENING. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS EVENING INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING WITH SPEEDS AT 5 TO 15 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 17 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........40 46 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR TEMP............95 94 RH..............43 44 20 FT WIND......NW 5 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 5 N 4 WIND GUST.. 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........48 54 60 67 74 81 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............91 80 75 72 70 68 RH..............49 69 79 87 90 93 20 FT WIND......N 4 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 E 3 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 E 3 E 2 WIND GUST..5 10 10 10 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........86 87 88 90 91 92 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............66 70 74 78 80 80 RH..............97 84 76 69 62 60 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 6 NE 8 NE 9 N 7 N 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15 20 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 5 N 6 NE 8 NE 9 N 7 N 6 WIND GUST.. 15 15 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...JOHNSON REQUESTED BY...BILL WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090825.DARRY.02/DDC