FNUS76 KLOX 260514
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORRIS...CA OTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1014 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2118 PDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 9 PM PDT
FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
OVER THE AREA THIS WEEK...BRINGING A WARMING AND DRYING TREND TO
THE BURN AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM AT LEAST THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BEHAVE
CLIMATOLOGICAL REGIMES. HOWEVER FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...WEAK OFFSHORE SURFACE GRADIENTS COULD BRING SOME
ENHANCED DRAINAGE WINDS AND DECREASE OVERNIGHT RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES RECOVERIES. THE EARLIEST POSSIBLE REPRIEVE FROM
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL THE WEEKEND.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....98-102 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH UNTIL
    1100 HOURS...BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO
    10 MPH UNTIL 1400 HOURS...THEN BECOMING
    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........VARIABLE WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 1000
    HOURS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH
    WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY...INCREASING TO 9500
    FT AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-73 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........26-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
    15 MPH UNTIL 2000 HOURS...BECOMING
    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP............SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
    GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2100 HOURS...BECOMING
    NORTH TO NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL EARLY...DIMINISHING TO 1000 FT AGL
    OR LESS AFTER 2200 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2000
    HOURS...THEN NORTH TO NORTHEAST 10 MPH OR
    LESS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....99-104 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH UNTIL
    1100 HOURS...BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO
    10 MPH UNTIL 1400 HOURS...THEN BECOMING
    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1000
    HOURS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH
    WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY...INCREASING TO
            10000 FT AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1000
    HOURS...THEN SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP A HOT AND DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER THE
BURN AREA THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY....BUT MORE LIKELY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL SOME LATE IN THE WEEK AS A
TROUGH WEAKENS THE RIDGE. THIS TROUGH WILL PASS TO THE NORTHWEST
OF THE AREA...POSSIBLY BRINGING A RETURN OF AN ONSHORE FLOW
PATTERN. THIS COULD DECREASE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASE HUMIDITIES
OVER THE BURN AREA. A BETTER CHANCE EXISTS FOR IMPROVED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE BURN AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOWER TO MID 90S TO NEAR 102...HIGHEST FRIDAY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MID TO UPPER 60S.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-50 PERCENT...LOWEST FRIDAY NIGHT.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-21 PERCENT...LOWEST FRIDAY.
WINDS...............TYPICAL CLIMATOLOGICAL REGIME...WITH WEAKER
      ONSHORE FLOW AND INCREASED DRAINAGE WINDS
    FRIDAY.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...BOB EISELE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090825.MORRI.01/LOX

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