FNUS75 KBOU 261305 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR NDMS EXERCISE...JEFFERSON COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 700 AM MDT WED AUG 26 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH THE INVERSION BREAKING WITH A TEMPERATURE AROUND 75 WHICH SHOULD BE AROUND 1200. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN EFFECT OF THE STORMS WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. THURSDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER...WITH A SMALLER CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-83. MIN HUMIDITY........37-41. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHEAST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST BY 1200. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...RISING TO 6000 FT AGL BY 1200 AND 8000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-57. MAX HUMIDITY........77-87%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHWEST. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHWEST 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-85. MIN HUMIDITY........28-32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN NORTH 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 2000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 9000 FT AGL BY 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NDMS EXERCISE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/26-06 43 0 57 96 NW 5 5 3 1 N13 180 W 3 570 P 08/26-07 43 0 60 85 NW 3 1 616 NW 3 1632 P 08/26-08 43 0 63 73 NW 3 1 1052 NW 3 2695 P 08/26-09 43 0 67 63 NW 3 3 3 1 N15 1488 NW 3 3757 P 08/26-10 43 3 72 53 NW 5 1 4503 NW 6 37160 P 08/26-11 43 3 76 46 N 6 1 7518 N 8 70562 G 08/26-12 61 26 78 42 NE 7 7 3 4 NW15 10532 N 12 103964 V 08/26-13 61 26 80 40 NE 8 4 10656 N 12 102428 V 08/26-14 61 26 80 39 NE 8 4 10779 N 10 100892 V 08/26-15 61 26 80 39 NE 8 8 3 4 NW25 10903 NW 10 99356 G 08/26-16 61 26 80 39 NE 8 4 10103 N 9 82068 G 08/26-17 61 26 79 41 NE 7 4 9304 N 8 64780 G 08/26-18 66 19 77 43 NE 7 7 3 3 NW26 8504 N 7 47492 F 08/26-19 66 19 74 49 NE 7 3 5790 N 7 32663 P 08/26-20 66 19 70 55 E 8 3 3076 E 8 17833 P 08/26-21 66 19 68 59 SE 8 8 3 3 NW22 362 SE 9 3004 P 08/26-22 66 19 65 65 SE 8 3 301 SE 9 2424 P 08/26-23 42 19 63 70 S 8 3 241 S 8 1845 P 08/27-00 42 0 61 74 S 8 8 3 1 N21 180 S 8 1265 P 08/27-01 42 0 60 76 S 8 1 181 S 7 1172 P 08/27-02 22 0 59 78 SW 8 1 182 SW 7 1079 P 08/27-03 22 0 58 79 SW 8 8 3 1 N25 183 SW 6 985 P 08/27-04 22 0 57 81 SW 8 1 206 SW 6 1102 P 08/27-05 22 0 56 82 SW 7 1 229 W 6 1218 P 08/27-06 29 0 56 81 W 7 7 3 1 N28 253 W 6 1334 P 08/27-07 29 0 58 77 W 6 1 774 NW 6 4305 P 08/27-08 29 0 61 69 NW 5 1 1252 NW 6 7328 P 08/27-09 29 0 65 60 NW 5 5 3 1 N28 1730 N 7 10351 P 08/27-10 29 0 69 49 N 6 1 4205 N 10 57332 F 08/27-11 29 0 76 38 N 7 1 6680 N 15 104313 V 08/27-12 29 0 78 34 NE 8 8 3 1 N26 9156 N 20 151294 E 08/27-13 45 10 80 32 NE 9 2 9800 N 20 162756 E 08/27-14 45 10 81 31 NE 9 2 10445 N 20 174218 E 08/27-15 45 10 82 30 N 10 16 3 2 N25 11089 N 20 185680 E 08/27-16 45 10 82 30 NE 10 2 10836 N 20 183256 E 08/27-17 45 10 81 30 NE 9 2 10583 N 20 180832 E 08/27-18 45 10 80 31 NE 9 9 3 2 N31 10330 N 20 178408 E 08/27-19 45 10 77 35 NE 8 2 6973 NE 15 119404 V 08/27-20 45 10 73 40 E 8 2 3616 E 10 60400 G 08/27-21 25 0 70 45 SE 7 7 3 1 N31 259 E 6 1396 P 08/27-22 25 0 68 49 SE 6 1 229 SE 6 1116 P 08/27-23 25 0 66 53 S 6 1 199 S 5 835 P 08/28-00 25 0 63 59 S 5 5 3 1 NE36 168 SW 3 555 P 08/28-01 25 0 60 66 SW 6 1 156 SW 5 564 P 08/28-02 25 0 58 70 SW 6 1 144 SW 5 573 P 08/28-03 25 0 57 73 SW 6 6 5 1 NE33 131 W 5 582 P 08/28-04 25 0 56 74 SW 6 1 129 W 6 597 P 08/28-05 25 0 56 74 SW 6 1 127 SW 6 612 P 08/28-06 25 0 56 74 SW 6 6 4 1 NE32 125 SW 6 627 P 08/28-07 25 0 57 70 SW 6 1 235 W 6 950 P 08/28-08 25 0 63 58 W 5 1 345 W 5 1273 P 08/28-09 25 0 68 48 W 3 3 4 1 N30 455 NW 5 1596 P 08/28-10 25 0 73 41 NW 5 1 4076 NW 9 64161 G 08/28-11 25 0 76 37 N 7 1 7697 N 14 126727 V 08/28-12 30 0 79 34 NE 8 8 4 1 N25 11318 N 20 189292 E 08/28-13 30 10 81 30 NE 8 2 11709 N 18 190988 E 08/28-14 30 10 82 28 NE 9 2 12100 N 18 192684 E 08/28-15 30 10 83 26 NE 9 9 3 2 N25 12491 N 18 194380 E 08/28-16 30 10 83 26 NE 9 2 11909 N 17 180817 E 08/28-17 30 10 82 26 NE 8 2 11328 N 17 167254 E 08/28-18 30 10 81 27 E 8 8 3 2 N30 10747 N 16 153690 E 08/28-19 30 10 77 31 E 7 2 7291 NE 15 103651 V 08/28-20 30 10 73 37 E 7 2 3835 E 13 53613 F 08/28-21 30 0 70 42 SE 7 7 3 1 N28 380 E 10 3574 P 08/28-22 30 0 68 46 SE 8 1 330 SE 10 2949 P 08/28-23 30 0 65 51 S 8 1 280 S 9 2323 P 08/29-00 28 0 62 58 S 8 8 3 1 N25 229 S 8 1698 P 08/29-01 28 0 59 65 S 8 1 201 S 8 1491 P 08/29-02 28 0 57 69 SW 8 1 173 S 8 1285 P 08/29-03 28 0 56 72 SW 8 8 3 1 NW23 144 SW 8 1078 P 08/29-04 28 0 55 73 SW 7 1 145 SW 8 998 P 08/29-05 28 0 55 73 W 7 1 146 W 7 917 P 08/29-06 28 0 55 72 W 7 7 3 1 N21 147 W 7 837 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...ROCCO SNART REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090826.NDMSE.01/BOU