FNUS75 KPUB 262004
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTIAN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
204 PM MDT WED AUG 26 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS...BUT WILL
DECREASE WITH THE LOSS OF SOLAR HEATING...AND ARE EXPECTED TO END
BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.  THURSDAY WILL BE A LITTLE DRIER...AND SO ONLY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND...FOR FRIDAY THE FORECAST MODELS SHOW
A DRY DAY...WITH TEMPS SIMILAR TO THOSE ON THURSDAY ALONG WITH WINDS
THAT ARE NORTHEASTERLY AROUND 10 MPH.  SATURDAY LOOKS LIKE A DAY WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN AREA WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT WINDS AGAIN.  THERE WILL PROBABLY BE A BETTER CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS A NEW WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE STATE.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BE IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO MID 20S.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT THAT SHOWERS AND
                    STORMS WILL RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS AND ERRATIC
                    WIND DIRECTIONS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2100...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    NORTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(46 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH
                    AROUND 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...D  PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090826.BLACK.01/PUB