FNUS73 KAPX 271451 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE BEES UNIT 1...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1051 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON AUGUST 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN WILL MAINTAIN RAIN-FREE WEATHER THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. HOWEVER...STALLED FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STEADY RAINFALL WELL DOWNSTATE...AND A FAIRLY THICK CANOPY OF HIGH CLOUD COVER STRETCHING UP THROUGH NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MAIN IMPACT WILL BE TO KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES DOWN A FEW DEGREES...TOPPING OUT IN THE LOWER 70S IN MOST AREAS. LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 72. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4900-5900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (300) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (400). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........93 93 99 99 99 100 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 69 70 72 72 71 RH..............48 42 39 37 35 36 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......300 400 400 400 400 400 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 76 76 72 45 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 63 58 54 51 48 RH..............42 56 72 83 89 93 20 FT WIND......SE 4 SE 5 SE 4 SE 3 SE 2 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......400 300 100 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70. RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-5800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(800). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........45 55 55 74 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............47 53 65 69 RH..............96 86 60 61 20 FT WIND......E 2G10 SE 5G10 SE 6G15 SE 7G15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......0 100 700 800 $$ FORECASTER...BRIAN ADAM REQUESTED BY...JAE NAUGLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090827.BLUEB.02/APX