FNUS75 KBOU 301035 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWS RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 432 AM MDT SUN AUG 30 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCES IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE FEATURES WILL HELP TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. STORMS MAY PRODUCE UP TO ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN IN 45 MINUTES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64. MIN HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8000-9000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39. MAX HUMIDITY........81%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-1200 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9600-10600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWS RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/30-04 72 10 44 88 CALM 1 235 SW 3 570 P 08/30-05 72 10 44 81 CALM 1 198 W 3 624 P 08/30-06 57 0 44 75 W 5 5 2 1 NW31 162 W 5 678 P 08/30-07 57 0 45 75 W 5 1 652 W 5 2518 P 08/30-08 57 0 48 71 NW 2 1 1143 NW 5 4357 P 08/30-09 57 0 52 66 CALM 0 2 1 NW28 1633 NW 5 6197 P 08/30-10 57 0 56 59 CALM 1 3528 NW 6 22439 P 08/30-11 57 0 58 56 NE 3 1 5424 W 7 38681 P 08/30-12 83 30 60 52 E 5 5 2 4 W24 7319 W 9 54923 F 08/30-13 83 30 61 49 SE 5 4 7958 W 10 71838 G 08/30-14 83 30 62 46 S 3 4 8598 W 12 88754 G 08/30-15 83 30 62 44 SW 2 2 2 4 W26 9237 W 13 105670 V 08/30-16 83 30 62 44 S 3 4 8906 W 13 96829 G 08/30-17 83 30 61 44 SE 5 4 8576 W 12 87988 G 08/30-18 69 30 62 43 SE 6 6 2 4 NW30 8245 W 12 79147 G 08/30-19 69 30 58 48 SE 6 4 6460 W 9 58412 F 08/30-20 69 30 55 53 SW 5 4 4675 W 8 37677 P 08/30-21 69 30 53 58 SW 3 3 2 4 NW28 2889 W 7 16942 P 08/30-22 69 30 51 61 SW 3 4 2006 W 7 11680 P 08/30-23 69 30 49 64 SW 5 4 1123 W 6 6418 P 08/31-00 50 0 46 70 W 6 6 2 1 NW18 240 SW 6 1156 P 08/31-01 50 0 44 75 W 7 1 202 W 7 1078 P 08/31-02 50 0 42 79 W 8 1 164 W 7 1000 P 08/31-03 49 0 41 81 W 8 8 2 1 NW26 127 W 8 922 P 08/31-04 49 0 41 81 W 7 1 128 W 8 836 P 08/31-05 49 0 41 81 SW 6 1 129 W 7 749 P 08/31-06 49 0 41 80 SW 5 5 2 1 NW28 130 SW 6 663 P 08/31-07 49 0 42 77 SW 6 1 286 SW 7 2022 P 08/31-08 49 0 47 64 SW 6 1 443 SW 8 3382 P 08/31-09 49 0 53 53 SW 7 7 2 1 W29 599 SW 9 4741 P 08/31-10 49 0 58 45 SW 8 1 3131 W 12 38073 P 08/31-11 49 0 61 41 W 8 1 5663 W 13 71404 G 08/31-12 63 20 63 38 W 9 9 2 3 W28 8195 W 15 104735 V 08/31-13 63 20 65 36 W 9 3 9189 W 16 126530 V 08/31-14 63 20 66 35 W 9 3 10184 W 16 148326 V 08/31-15 72 20 67 33 W 9 9 2 3 W23 11178 W 17 170121 E 08/31-16 72 20 67 34 W 9 3 10384 W 18 164857 E 08/31-17 72 20 66 35 W 8 3 9591 W 20 159593 E 08/31-18 63 0 66 36 W 8 8 2 1 W23 8797 W 21 154329 E 08/31-19 63 0 62 40 W 7 1 6592 W 16 108988 V 08/31-20 63 0 59 46 W 6 1 4387 W 13 63647 G 08/31-21 34 0 56 50 W 5 5 2 1 W25 2181 W 9 18306 P 08/31-22 34 0 55 53 W 6 1 1531 W 9 12797 P 08/31-23 34 0 53 57 W 7 1 881 W 9 7289 P 09/01-00 26 0 50 63 W 8 8 2 1 W35 231 W 9 1780 P 09/01-01 26 0 48 68 W 8 1 204 W 9 1563 P 09/01-02 26 0 46 71 W 8 1 177 W 9 1345 P 09/01-03 49 0 45 73 W 8 8 2 1 W35 149 W 9 1128 P 09/01-04 49 0 45 73 W 8 1 151 W 8 1128 P 09/01-05 49 0 44 73 W 8 1 153 W 8 1128 P 09/01-06 15 0 44 63 W 8 8 2 1 W40 154 W 8 1128 P 09/01-07 15 0 46 62 W 8 1 1562 W 10 20304 P 09/01-08 15 0 50 53 W 9 1 2970 W 13 39480 P 09/01-09 23 0 55 46 W 9 9 2 1 W36 4378 W 15 58656 F 09/01-10 23 0 60 38 W 12 1 6437 W 16 95398 G 09/01-11 23 0 62 34 W 13 1 8495 W 17 132140 V 09/01-12 26 21 65 31 W 15 15 2 3 W31 10554 W 18 168882 E 09/01-13 26 21 67 29 W 15 3 11247 W 20 189341 E 09/01-14 26 21 68 28 W 15 3 11940 W 20 209799 E 09/01-15 23 21 69 27 W 15 15 2 3 W29 12633 W 21 230257 E 09/01-16 23 21 68 27 W 14 3 12012 W 21 214757 E 09/01-17 23 21 67 28 W 14 3 11390 W 20 199257 E 09/01-18 23 21 67 27 W 13 13 2 3 W26 10768 W 20 183757 E 09/01-19 23 21 64 29 W 6 3 8631 W 18 142187 V 09/01-20 23 21 60 34 W 5 3 6494 W 17 100618 V 09/01-21 15 21 58 37 W 12 12 2 3 W25 4356 W 16 59048 F 09/01-22 15 21 56 39 W 10 3 2988 W 13 39942 P 09/01-23 15 21 54 40 W 9 3 1619 W 10 20837 P 09/02-00 27 0 51 43 W 8 8 2 1 W29 251 W 8 1731 P 09/02-01 27 0 49 46 W 8 1 218 W 8 1507 P 09/02-02 27 0 48 49 W 8 1 186 W 8 1284 P 09/02-03 27 0 46 50 W 8 8 2 1 W35 154 W 8 1061 P 09/02-04 27 0 46 50 W 8 1 154 W 8 1075 P 09/02-05 27 0 46 50 W 8 1 155 W 8 1090 P 09/02-06 28 0 46 50 W 8 8 2 1 W35 155 W 8 1104 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DOUG WATRY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090830.UPPER.01/BOU