FNUS75 KGJT 310421
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TABAGUCHE CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1021 PM MDT SUN AUG 30 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2114 MDT ON AUGUST 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH HAINES INDEX...

.DISCUSSION...
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASSES NORTH OF THE AREA ON
MONDAY...THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN...RESULTING IN INCREASED WINDS.
THE INCREASED WINDS...IN COMBINATION WITH LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES...WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS BY THE AFTERNOON. THE GRADIENT WILL RELAX BY
TUESDAY WITH A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING EXPECTED.

.MONDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...
                    THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. INCREASING
                    TO 12-17 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH UNTIL 0900...
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 28 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25
                    MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WINDS DECREASING.
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH BY
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH UNTIL MIDNIGHT THEN 5 MODERATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 MPH UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING.
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 6 MPH BY
                    MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY. SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    8-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN CRESTO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090830.TABAG.01/GJT