FNUS75 KBOU 311750 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWS RX...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1150 AM MDT MON AUG 31 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TODAY WILL BE 10-15 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY ALONG WITH HUMIDITIES ABOUT 20-30 PERCENT LOWER DUE TO INCREASING WESTERLY WIND. UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN OVER WESTERN COLORADO WITH AN UPPER LOW SKIRTING EAST OVER NORTHERN WYOMING...FLATTENING THE RIDGE A BIT AND KEEPING WESTERLY WINDS OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS WILL HELP THE WESTERLY WINDS AT EYE LEVEL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AS WELL. ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY...MOST LIKELY AROUND THE BURN AREA AFTER 1300. THE CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS WILL BE 30 PERCENT...EXPECT BETWEEN 0.05 AND .1 INCHES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........66%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-400 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 10600-11600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWS RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/31-11 23 5 70 20 W 8 1 5686 W 20 102104 V 08/31-12 23 10 71 20 W 9 9 2 1 W48 7117 W 22 137539 V 08/31-13 50 20 72 19 W 12 3 9074 W 23 185567 E 08/31-14 50 20 73 20 W 13 3 11030 W 24 233595 E 08/31-15 66 20 75 20 W 15 24 2 3 W31 12987 W 25 281624 E 08/31-16 66 20 75 22 W 14 3 11956 W 23 243575 E 08/31-17 66 20 72 27 W 12 3 10926 W 22 205526 E 08/31-18 63 10 69 27 W 10 10 2 2 W24 9896 W 20 167477 E 08/31-19 63 10 65 31 SW 7 2 8184 W 17 130548 V 08/31-20 63 10 61 36 W 6 2 6472 W 16 93618 G 08/31-21 34 10 58 49 W 6 6 2 2 W20 5068 W 16 70260 G 08/31-22 34 10 56 52 W 6 2 3500 W 13 47466 F 08/31-23 34 10 54 55 W 6 2 1932 W 9 24672 P 09/01-00 26 0 52 60 SW 6 6 2 1 W37 365 SW 6 1878 P 09/01-01 26 0 49 64 W 6 1 303 W 7 1653 P 09/01-02 26 0 48 66 W 7 1 241 W 7 1428 P 09/01-03 36 0 47 66 W 7 7 2 1 W35 178 W 8 1204 P 09/01-04 36 0 46 64 W 7 1 189 W 8 1275 P 09/01-05 36 0 46 62 W 7 1 200 W 8 1345 P 09/01-06 15 0 46 59 W 7 7 2 1 W31 210 W 8 1416 P 09/01-07 15 0 47 58 W 8 1 1822 W 10 22385 P 09/01-08 15 0 51 52 W 9 1 3461 W 13 43531 F 09/01-09 23 0 55 46 W 6 6 2 1 W38 5101 W 15 64677 G 09/01-10 23 0 60 39 W 7 1 6713 W 15 88568 G 09/01-11 23 0 62 35 W 7 1 8325 W 15 112459 V 09/01-12 55 10 64 32 W 8 8 2 2 W31 9938 W 16 136350 V 09/01-13 55 10 66 30 W 8 2 10725 W 16 149887 V 09/01-14 55 10 67 29 W 9 2 11513 W 16 163424 E 09/01-15 55 10 67 28 W 9 9 2 2 W21 12300 W 16 176961 E 09/01-16 55 10 67 28 W 9 2 11291 W 16 162028 E 09/01-17 55 10 66 29 W 9 2 10281 W 16 147096 V 09/01-18 23 10 66 28 W 9 9 2 2 W23 9271 W 16 132163 V 09/01-19 23 10 63 30 W 8 2 7265 W 16 101773 V 09/01-20 23 10 59 35 W 7 2 5260 W 15 71383 G 09/01-21 15 0 57 38 W 7 7 2 1 W18 3254 W 15 40993 F 09/01-22 15 0 55 40 W 7 1 2254 W 13 27918 P 09/01-23 15 0 53 41 W 7 1 1254 W 10 14843 P 09/02-00 15 0 51 44 W 7 7 2 1 W21 254 W 8 1768 P 09/02-01 15 0 49 47 W 7 1 225 W 8 1554 P 09/02-02 15 0 47 50 W 7 1 195 W 8 1341 P 09/02-03 15 0 46 51 W 7 7 2 1 W35 166 W 8 1128 P 09/02-04 15 0 46 51 W 7 1 168 W 8 1140 P 09/02-05 15 0 45 51 W 7 1 171 W 8 1152 P 09/02-06 25 0 45 51 W 7 7 2 1 W36 174 W 8 1164 P 09/02-07 25 0 47 51 W 7 1 1761 W 12 26930 P 09/02-08 25 0 50 49 W 6 1 3349 W 15 52695 F 09/02-09 25 0 54 44 W 6 6 2 1 NW32 4936 W 18 78461 G 09/02-10 25 0 58 38 W 7 1 6361 W 18 99298 G 09/02-11 25 0 61 34 W 9 1 7786 W 18 120135 V 09/02-12 50 10 63 30 NW 10 10 2 2 NW29 9211 W 17 140972 V 09/02-13 50 10 64 29 NW 10 2 9813 W 16 138895 V 09/02-14 50 10 65 28 NW 10 2 10415 W 15 136818 V 09/02-15 50 10 66 27 NW 10 10 2 2 NW18 11017 W 14 134740 V 09/02-16 50 10 65 28 NW 9 2 10740 W 13 114461 V 09/02-17 50 10 64 29 NW 8 2 10464 W 10 94182 G 09/02-18 50 10 64 30 NW 7 7 2 2 W10 10187 W 8 73903 G 09/02-19 50 10 61 34 N 3 2 09/02-20 50 10 58 38 N 3 2 09/02-21 50 10 55 41 NE 3 3 2 09/02-22 50 10 54 43 NE 2 2 09/02-23 50 10 52 45 NE 2 2 09/03-00 29 0 50 48 E 2 2 09/03-01 29 0 47 51 NE 3 09/03-02 29 0 46 53 NE 3 09/03-03 29 0 45 55 N 5 5 09/03-04 29 0 44 54 N 5 09/03-05 29 0 44 55 NW 6 09/03-06 29 0 44 54 W 6 6 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DOUG WATRY REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090831.UPPER.01/BOU