FNUS75 KPUB 311627
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1027 AM MDT MON AUG 31 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STILL ENOUGH MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THOUGH COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY OF STORMS WILL BE LESS THAN YESTERDAY. CAN'T RULE OUT A
STORM BOTH TUE AND WED AFTERNOONS...THOUGH CHANCES FOR WETTING '
RAINFALL WILL BE VERY LOW BOTH DAYS. WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WED...WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE A LIGHT TO MODERATE
WEST TO SOUTHWEST DAYTIME SURFACE WIND AT THE FIRE SITE. MINIMUM RH
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL AVERAGE OUT AROUND 20 PERCENT EACH
AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA WED NIGHT...WITH MOISTER
AND COOLER AIR MASS FOR THURSDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 9-13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(51 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(33 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST-SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSEN
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090831.BLACK.01/PUB