FNUS72 KTAE 311117
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR SVR C-15 DRY BAR...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
717 AM EDT MON AUG 31 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0715 EDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 850-942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE FLORIDA...GEORGIA
AND ALABAMA BORDER THIS MORNING WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD DURING THE
DAY BEFORE STALLING ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AND THE NORTHEAST
GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT. THIS FRONT AIDED BY AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
AND MOIST ONSHORE FLOW WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER
NORTH FLORIDA. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO STAY
WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE
FURTHER OFFSHORE BY MIDWEEK WITH DRIER AIR FILTERING IN FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER BUT REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....22.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............78     81     84     84     84     84
RH..............85     77     72     73     71     69
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 5    W 8    SW 12  SW 12  SW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....3.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSION....14.

$$
FORECASTER...JAMSKI
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER HINCKLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090831.SVRC1.01/TAE