FNUS75 KBOU 011751 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWS RX...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1151 AM MDT TUE SEP 1 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A DRIER AND WARMER AIRMASS WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH ONLY AN ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE AFTER 1400. GUSTY WINDS BUT LITTLE RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH ANY STORM. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BECOME VERY GOOD BY 1200. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). HAZE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1300 THEN WEST 7-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000-11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). HAZE UNTIL 2100. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45. MAX HUMIDITY........59%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-13 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10800-11800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR UPPER BEAVER MEADOWS RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/01-11 30 0 70 25 SE 5 1 8966 W 25 145737 V 09/01-12 30 3 70 24 S 6 2 1 W44 10576 W 28 258438 E 09/01-13 41 3 72 21 W 10 1 10912 W 25 241811 E 09/01-14 41 3 73 20 W 10 1 11248 W 23 225183 E 09/01-15 41 10 74 19 W 9 9 2 2 W24 11583 W 21 208555 E 09/01-16 51 10 73 19 W 9 2 9498 W 18 159899 E 09/01-17 51 10 70 20 W 9 2 7413 W 16 111244 V 09/01-18 38 10 66 29 W 9 9 2 2 W21 5328 W 14 62588 G 09/01-19 38 10 62 33 W 7 2 3647 W 10 42197 F 09/01-20 38 10 57 38 W 6 2 1966 W 8 21805 P 09/01-21 38 0 54 43 W 5 5 2 1 W20 286 W 6 1414 P 09/01-22 38 0 52 45 W 5 1 243 W 6 1215 P 09/01-23 38 0 50 47 W 6 1 200 W 6 1016 P 09/02-00 28 0 48 49 W 6 6 2 1 W17 157 W 6 817 P 09/02-01 28 0 47 51 W 7 1 152 W 6 831 P 09/02-02 28 0 45 54 W 7 1 147 W 7 845 P 09/02-03 28 0 45 56 W 7 7 2 1 W22 142 W 7 859 P 09/02-04 28 0 45 57 W 7 1 148 W 8 986 P 09/02-05 28 0 45 59 W 8 1 154 W 8 1113 P 09/02-06 20 0 45 59 W 8 8 2 1 W24 159 W 9 1241 P 09/02-07 20 0 46 57 W 7 1 1192 W 9 11280 P 09/02-08 20 0 50 49 W 7 1 2225 NW 10 21319 P 09/02-09 20 0 55 42 W 6 6 2 1 NW30 3258 NW 12 31358 P 09/02-10 20 0 59 36 W 5 1 5461 NW 12 58208 F 09/02-11 20 0 61 33 NW 5 1 7664 NW 13 85057 G 09/02-12 51 15 63 31 NW 3 3 2 3 NW24 9867 NW 13 111907 V 09/02-13 51 15 65 29 NW 3 3 10760 NW 12 109686 V 09/02-14 51 15 66 28 NW 3 3 11653 NW 10 107465 V 09/02-15 51 15 67 28 NW 3 3 3 3 W10 12547 NW 9 105244 V 09/02-16 51 15 66 28 NW 3 3 11596 NW 8 81012 G 09/02-17 51 15 65 29 NW 5 3 10646 NW 6 56779 F 09/02-18 51 15 65 30 NW 5 5 3 3 NW10 11543 NW 9 95966 G 09/02-19 51 15 62 34 NW 3 3 9269 NW 9 75095 G 09/02-20 51 15 59 39 SW 3 3 6995 N 8 54225 F 09/02-21 51 15 56 44 SW 2 2 2 3 NW16 4721 N 8 33354 P 09/02-22 51 15 55 47 SW 2 3 3328 N 7 22855 P 09/02-23 51 15 53 51 W 3 3 1935 N 6 12356 P 09/03-00 33 0 51 57 W 5 5 2 1 NW21 542 N 3 1856 P 09/03-01 33 0 48 62 W 5 1 442 NW 5 1615 P 09/03-02 33 0 47 65 W 6 1 342 NW 5 1374 P 09/03-03 33 0 46 67 W 6 6 2 1 NW25 241 W 6 1133 P 09/03-04 33 0 45 68 W 7 1 233 W 6 1194 P 09/03-05 33 0 45 68 W 7 1 224 W 7 1255 P 09/03-06 33 0 45 67 W 7 7 2 1 NW25 216 W 7 1316 P 09/03-07 33 0 46 63 W 6 1 2041 W 9 22877 P 09/03-08 33 0 50 54 W 5 1 3867 NW 12 44438 F 09/03-09 33 0 55 45 NW 3 3 2 1 N26 5693 NW 14 65999 G 09/03-10 33 0 59 39 NW 3 1 7160 NW 14 82295 G 09/03-11 33 0 61 35 N 5 1 8627 NW 13 98592 G 09/03-12 51 15 63 32 N 6 6 2 3 NW22 10095 NW 13 114888 V 09/03-13 51 15 64 30 N 6 3 10648 NW 12 110189 V 09/03-14 51 15 65 29 N 5 3 11202 NW 12 105490 V 09/03-15 51 15 66 29 NE 3 3 2 3 NW16 11756 NW 10 100791 V 09/03-16 51 15 66 29 NE 3 3 10751 NW 9 82801 G 09/03-17 51 15 65 30 NE 2 3 9745 NW 7 64811 G 09/03-18 51 15 64 31 NE 2 2 2 3 NW18 8740 NW 6 46821 F 09/03-19 51 15 61 34 CALM 3 7487 N 5 35759 P 09/03-20 51 15 58 39 CALM 3 6234 E 5 24697 P 09/03-21 51 15 55 42 CALM 1 2 3 NW22 4980 SE 3 13636 P 09/03-22 51 15 54 44 CALM 3 3563 S 2 9543 P 09/03-23 51 15 52 45 N 2 3 2145 SW 2 5451 P 09/04-00 43 0 49 49 N 2 2 2 1 NW21 728 W 2 1359 P 09/04-01 43 0 47 52 NW 2 1 542 W 2 1022 P 09/04-02 43 0 45 54 NW 2 1 357 NW 2 685 P 09/04-03 43 0 44 56 NW 2 2 2 1 N17 172 NW 2 349 P 09/04-04 43 0 44 56 NW 2 1 164 NW 2 369 P 09/04-05 43 0 44 56 NW 2 1 156 NW 3 389 P 09/04-06 43 0 44 56 NW 2 2 2 1 N14 148 NW 3 408 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CHRIS ERSKINE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090901.UPPER.02/BOU