FNUS75 KGJT 011636
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD 2...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1036 AM MDT TUE SEP 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1003 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY...BUT AT THE SAME
TIME MOISTURE IS ALSO INCREASING. STORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE LIMITED
RAIN...BUT GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE THE BIGGEST CONCERN.
CONVECTION WILL BE A LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD WEDNESDAY AS MODERATE
MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. OUTFLOW WINDS WILL REMAIN
THE MAIN CONCERN FOR FIREFIGHTERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED AFTERNOON
                    THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE VARIABLE HIGH LEVEL
                    SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......GENERALLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH WITH
                    A FEW AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY ERRATIC
                    WINDS TO 45 MPH NEAR ANY STORMS OR VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). AN ISOLATED EVENING
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. HAZE/SMOKE IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWN VALLEY 4-8 MPH
                    AFTER 2100. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS TO 45 MPH
                    NEAR ANY STORMS OR VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......GENERALLY UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH WITH A FEW
                    AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS
                    TO 45 MPH NEAR ANY STORMS OR VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090901.COTTO.01/GJT