FNUS72 KMLB 011527
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH BUCK LAKE UNITS 4  5...BREVARD COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1127 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE BURN SITE
THIS AFTERNOON AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL MAKE
FOR MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WHICH WILL LIMIT HEATING AND THEREFORE THE
STRENGTH OF THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. STILL MAY SEE A FEW
SHOWERS AND STORMS INITIALLY FORM ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY
THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER LOOKS LIKE BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE TOWARD THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CROSSES CENTRAL FLORIDA AND INCREASES
STORM COVERAGE ACROSS THE PENINSULA. ANY STORMS THAT FORM INLAND
WILL PUSH TOWARD THE EAST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH AND TOWARD THE COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............85  85  85  83  82  80  79  78  77  76  76  75
RH..............74  70  74  77  82  85  88  90  94  94  97  97
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..8   10  10  10  10  9   8   8   7   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.                    10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............9.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...DEAN VANDERBLEEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090901.NORTH.01/MLB