FNUS75 KPUB 012101
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
301 PM MDT TUE SEP 1 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GENERALLY WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWEST AND REMAIN WEAK THROUGH THE DAY
TOMORROW AS UPPER UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS DESERT SW
THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE FLOW ALOFT WILL SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW
WITH BETTER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE BURN SITE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. CONVECTION WILL INITIALLY BE HIGH BASED WITH GUSTY WINDS
UP TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS THAT DEVELOP. TEMPERATURES ALOFT
REMAIN WARM UNDER THE RIDGE WITH ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS LATE TOMORROW MORNING COULD REACH THE BURN SITE BETWEEN
NOON AND 2 PM...WITH UPSLOPE DEVELOPING THEREAFTER.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(37 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE 4-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. LESS THAN 500 FEET AGL
                    AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(65 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
                    8-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090901.BLACK.01/PUB