FNUS75 KPUB 012044
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PIEDROSA...PIKE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
244 PM MDT TUE SEP 1 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GENERALLY WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA TODAY
WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWEST AND REMAIN WEAK THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW AS
UPPER UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS DESERT SW THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN. MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW ALOFT WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW...WITH BETTER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE BURN SITE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. CONVECTION WILL INITIALLY BE
HIGH BASED WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS THAT
DEVELOP. TEMPERATURES ALOFT REMAIN WARM UNDER THE RIDGE...OWNING TO
ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(41 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE 4-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300 THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(75 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090901.PIEDR.01/PUB