FNUS75 KBOU 021021 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2 UNIT D...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 416 AM MDT WED SEP 2 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SO THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO TUESDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN HUMIDITY. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR THROUGH 1000 GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VERY GOOD AFTER 1300. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). HAZE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 13400-14400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47. MAX HUMIDITY........66%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11400-12400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2 UNIT D. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/02-04 28 0 50 43 SW 6 1 125 W 7 746 P 09/02-05 28 0 50 44 W 7 1 125 W 7 773 P 09/02-06 20 0 50 44 W 7 7 2 1 NW28 125 W 7 799 P 09/02-07 20 0 51 42 W 7 1 218 W 7 1416 P 09/02-08 20 0 56 36 W 6 1 311 W 8 2033 P 09/02-09 20 0 61 30 W 6 6 3 1 NW28 404 W 8 2650 P 09/02-10 18 0 67 25 W 7 1 4273 W 10 58178 F 09/02-11 18 0 70 23 NW 8 1 8142 W 14 113706 V 09/02-12 18 15 72 21 NW 9 9 3 2 W25 12010 W 16 169234 E 09/02-13 18 15 74 21 NW 10 2 12931 W 15 170068 E 09/02-14 18 15 75 21 N 10 2 13851 W 14 170903 E 09/02-15 43 15 76 21 N 10 10 4 1 W14 14771 W 14 171738 E 09/02-16 43 15 76 22 N 9 1 14411 W 12 150356 E 09/02-17 43 15 75 23 N 8 1 14051 NW 10 128974 V 09/02-18 51 10 74 25 N 7 7 3 2 W12 13690 NW 9 107592 V 09/02-19 51 10 70 29 NE 6 2 10100 N 9 80330 G 09/02-20 51 10 66 34 E 6 2 6510 NE 10 53067 F 09/02-21 51 10 63 39 E 5 5 3 2 NW13 2920 E 10 25805 P 09/02-22 51 10 55 53 SE 3 2 2002 E 8 17372 P 09/02-23 51 10 52 59 S 3 2 1084 SE 6 8939 P 09/03-00 33 0 51 63 S 2 2 3 1 NW16 166 SE 3 506 P 09/03-01 33 0 49 65 S 2 1 164 S 3 457 P 09/03-02 33 0 49 66 SW 2 1 162 S 3 408 P 09/03-03 33 0 48 66 SW 2 2 3 1 NW21 160 S 2 359 P 09/03-04 33 0 48 66 SW 2 1 166 S 3 455 P 09/03-05 33 0 47 65 SW 3 1 172 SW 3 550 P 09/03-06 33 0 48 60 SW 5 5 3 1 N21 177 SW 5 646 P 09/03-07 33 0 50 56 SW 3 1 1097 SW 5 5681 P 09/03-08 33 0 55 47 W 2 1 2018 NW 6 10717 P 09/03-09 33 0 60 38 W 2 2 2 1 N20 2938 NW 6 15753 P 09/03-10 33 0 65 31 W 3 1 5527 NW 8 47951 F 09/03-11 33 0 68 28 NW 6 1 8117 NW 10 80149 G 09/03-12 51 15 71 25 N 7 7 2 3 NW18 10706 NW 12 112346 V 09/03-13 51 15 73 23 N 8 3 11390 NW 12 117539 V 09/03-14 51 15 74 22 N 9 3 12073 N 12 122731 V 09/03-15 51 15 75 21 N 10 10 3 3 NW16 12757 N 12 127923 V 09/03-16 51 15 75 21 N 12 3 12443 N 10 117650 V 09/03-17 51 15 73 21 NE 12 3 12130 N 10 107378 V 09/03-18 51 15 73 22 NE 12 12 3 3 NW15 11817 N 9 97106 G 09/03-19 51 15 69 26 E 10 3 8741 NE 10 73147 G 09/03-20 51 15 65 31 SE 9 3 5664 E 10 49187 F 09/03-21 51 15 62 35 S 7 7 2 3 NW23 2588 SE 12 25228 P 09/03-22 51 15 60 39 S 6 3 1816 SE 9 17344 P 09/03-23 51 15 58 44 S 6 3 1045 S 8 9459 P 09/04-00 43 0 55 50 S 6 6 2 1 N22 273 S 7 1574 P 09/04-01 43 0 52 55 SW 5 1 233 S 6 1292 P 09/04-02 43 0 50 59 SW 5 1 192 SW 6 1010 P 09/04-03 43 0 49 61 SW 6 6 4 1 N15 152 SW 6 728 P 09/04-04 43 0 48 61 SW 6 1 144 SW 6 688 P 09/04-05 43 0 48 60 SW 6 1 136 W 6 648 P 09/04-06 43 0 48 59 SW 6 6 4 1 NE 8 129 W 6 608 P 09/04-07 43 0 50 54 W 6 1 857 W 6 3926 P 09/04-08 43 0 55 43 W 5 1 1585 NW 6 7244 P 09/04-09 43 0 61 34 NW 5 5 4 1 N 3 2313 N 6 10562 P 09/04-10 43 0 67 27 NW 5 1 5304 N 6 23949 P 09/04-11 43 0 71 24 N 6 1 8296 N 6 37337 P 09/04-12 56 15 74 21 NE 6 6 3 3 NW 8 11287 NW 5 50724 F 09/04-13 56 15 75 20 NE 6 3 12396 N 5 53686 F 09/04-14 56 15 77 20 NE 7 3 13505 N 5 56647 F 09/04-15 56 15 78 19 NE 7 7 3 3 N 7 14614 N 5 59609 F 09/04-16 56 15 78 20 E 8 3 14202 N 5 60337 G 09/04-17 56 15 76 21 E 9 3 13790 NE 5 61066 G 09/04-18 56 15 75 23 E 10 10 3 3 NW10 13377 NE 6 61794 G 09/04-19 56 15 70 26 E 10 3 9529 E 8 47752 F 09/04-20 56 15 65 31 SE 9 3 5680 SE 10 33709 P 09/04-21 56 15 62 35 S 8 8 3 3 N15 1831 SE 13 19667 P 09/04-22 56 15 60 38 S 7 3 1307 SE 10 13579 P 09/04-23 56 15 57 42 SW 6 3 782 S 8 7490 P 09/05-00 62 10 53 47 SW 5 5 3 2 NE 9 258 S 6 1402 P 09/05-01 62 10 50 52 SW 5 2 218 S 6 1137 P 09/05-02 62 10 48 56 SW 5 2 179 SW 6 871 P 09/05-03 62 10 47 58 SW 5 5 3 2 N 7 139 SW 5 606 P 09/05-04 62 10 46 59 SW 5 2 130 SW 5 554 P 09/05-05 62 10 45 59 W 5 2 122 SW 5 502 P 09/05-06 62 10 45 59 W 5 5 3 2 N 9 113 W 5 450 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHELDER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090902.SHEEP.01/BOU