FNUS76 KPQR 041628
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR OWL CREEK MEADOW...USFS WNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
928 AM PDT FRI SEP 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WETTING RAIN LIKELY THIS WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...A VERY WEAK COLD FRONT HAS STALLED OVER NORTHWEST
OREGON AND THE SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADES THIS MORNING...BRINGING
CLOUDS AND A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS TO MAINLY NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
WILLAMETTE NATIONAL FOREST AREA. HOWEVER THE AIR MASS BELOW THE
CLOUD DECK REMAINS FAIRLY DRY...SO MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION IS
EVAPORATING BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND. SOME INCREASE IN SUNSHINE
IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...LEADING TO WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
FOR THE AFTERNOON. ALSO A THERMAL LOW DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHEAST
OREGON SHOULD PULL A LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST WIND UP THE VALLEY
THIS AFTERNOON.

THE NEXT FRONT WILL APPROACH THE OREGON COAST LATE TONIGHT...BUT
RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STRONGER FRONT WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF
UNTIL SATURDAY FOR THE BURN AREA. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...AND MUCH OF THE MCKENZIE DISTRICT WILL PROBABLY
RECEIVE AT LEAST A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN BY MONDAY...POSSIBLY AS
MUCH AS AN INCH.

CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (CWR) 0.25 INCHES OR GREATER.
FORECAST WINDS ARE 10 MINUTE AVERAGES 20 FT ABOVE VEGETATION.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SPRINKLES OR SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................ZERO.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM WIND UNTIL 1100. THEN GRADUALLY
                    INCREASING UPVALLEY/WEST WIND 1-5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 10 MPH DEVELOPING AFTER
                    1500.
WIND (20 FT)........CALM WIND UNTIL 1100. THEN GRADUALLY
                    INCREASING UPVALLEY/WEST WIND 3-7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 13 MPH DEVELOPING AFTER
                    1500.

TIME (PDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
TEMP............58     66     75     80     77
RH..............60     48     35     27     30
20 FT WIND......CALM   W 0-2  W 1-3  W 2-4  W 2-4
   MAX GUST.....2      4      7      10     8
EYE LEVEL WIND..CALM   W 2-4  W 3-6  W 3-7  W 3-6
   MAX GUST.....1      6      10     13     12

$$
FORECASTER...WEAGLE
REQUESTED BY...BRENDA HALLMARK
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090904.OWLCR.01/PQR