FNUS75 KBYZ 052047
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE PEOPLE...MT-CRA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
247 PM MDT SAT SEP 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1445 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...DRAMATIC WIND SHIFT WITH COLD FRONT LATE SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERN THIS AFTERNOON IS THE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
TOWARD THE FIRE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. CURRENTLY STORMS HAVING
A TOUGH TIME MOVING ACROSS THE BIG HORN BASIN...BUT LATER THIS
AFTERNOON EXPECT ONE OR TWO STORMS TO GET INTO THE PRYOR
MOUNTAINS. WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS.
TONIGHT WILL SEE POOR RH RECOVERIES AGAIN. RIDGE TOP WINDS WILL
START OFF SOUTHERLY BUT WILL TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE SUNDAY EVENING. HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
WITH ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS WILL BE GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST...AND MAY SEE A
FEW STRONGER WIND GUSTS MIX DOWN THE SLOPE LATE IN THE DAY. EXPECT
MORE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY EVENING WITH A DRAMATIC WIND
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UP SLOPE/VALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH...ISOLATED THERMAL
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SOME
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWN SLOPE/VALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 14 IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY
                    WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UP SLOPE/VALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH...ISOLATED THERMAL
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH...GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHAMBERS
REQUESTED BY...PRYOR FORESTRY OFFICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090905.LITTL.01/BYZ