FNUS75 KGJT 060114
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER PARK...GJIDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
714 PM MDT SAT SEP 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1857 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST
TONIGHT THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER BURN SITE.
HAVING SAID THAT...MOST THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORMED OVER OUR AREA
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY RESULTING IN SOME
GUSTY SURFACE WINDS AND HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS. NEVERTHELESS...AS DISTURBANCE
CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD TONIGHT CHANCE WILL STILL REMAIN FOR WEAK
THUNDERSHOWERS. FOR TOMORROW...AMPLE MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING
WILL FIRE OFF ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER AREA THOUGH
EXPECT ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM TO LAST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS. MAIN CONCERN WITH STORMS WILL BE HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 MPH OR SO.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........49-54%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH GUSTING TO 15 MPH
                    SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (82100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (8000-8800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1400 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 13
                    TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD TO VERY
                    GOOD (66500-106000 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090905.DEERP.01/GJT