FNUS75 KRIW 072256 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNCAN...IA CDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 456 PM MDT MON SEP 7 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1635 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND THE CONTINUED MOVEMENT OF A COLD FRONT WILL KEEP ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FIRE THIS EVENING. A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BY 1800 THIS EVENING OVER THE FIRE...THOUGH WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE WEST BY THE LATE EVENING HOURS. INSTABILITY WILL LESSEN WITH THE LOSS OF DAYLIGHT...ALLOWING ONLY ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT IS THEN SLATED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 0600 AND 0900 TUESDAY MORNING. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...EXPECT COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE FIRE TUESDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY ELEVATED HUMIDITY. ASIDE FROM WIND SHIFTS...WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD. AS THE SYSTEM EXITS THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...A MORE STABLE AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE. THIS WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...BRANHAM .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-81. MIN HUMIDITY........27-21 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 7-10 MPH. LAL.................4. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.6 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (46400 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2200...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-56. MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.7 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL BY 0200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (8100-40700 KNOT-FT). .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH 1100...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69. MIN HUMIDITY........28-34 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL BY 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (31500-59200 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BRANHAM REQUESTED BY...BOB EVANS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090907.DUNCA.02/RIW