FNUS73 KAPX 081300 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR FARRERS FIRE...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 900 AM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY PULLING EAST OF THE UPPER LAKES TODAY WILL ALLOW RECENT PROLONGED STRETCH OF RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. LIGHT EAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY THIS MORNING...WITH WINDS GOING CALM ONCE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WARMING WELL INTO THE UPPER 70S WILL PROMOTE STEADY RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALL OFF TODAY...WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 40S. GREAT RH RECOVERY EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES DROP...WITH EARLY MORNING RH VALUES APPROACHING 100 PERCENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........76 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6300-6400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (800). TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........21 41 41 41 36 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............76 77 77 76 75 RH..............48 47 47 50 52 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 3 3 4 4 SMOKE DISP......800 800 700 700 700 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........36 36 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 8 8 WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG TEMP............74 73 71 69 66 64 62 61 60 58 57 56 RH..............53 55 61 63 70 75 78 81 84 86 90 96 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISP......600 400 300 200 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH REQUESTED BY...R MCKENZIE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090908.FARRE.01/APX