FNUS75 KBOU 081956 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNRAVEN FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 157 PM MDT TUE SEP 8 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH AN UPPER RIDGE CONTINUING OVER COLORADO. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS AND LOWER FOOTHILLS OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO THIS EVENING...BUT WILL LIKELY NOT MAKE IT INTO THE FIRE AREA. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-77. MIN HUMIDITY........20-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-50. MAX HUMIDITY........80-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 600-1600 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-72. MIN HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 6-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4400-5400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DUNRAVEN FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/08-13 67 43 72 29 W 6 4 10241 W 6 49397 F 09/08-14 67 43 72 30 W 5 4 10012 W 5 37909 P 09/08-15 67 43 70 33 W 3 6 2 4 SW 8 9782 W 3 26420 P 09/08-16 67 43 67 36 W 5 4 8539 W 5 33644 P 09/08-17 67 43 66 38 W 6 4 7296 W 7 40867 F 09/08-18 75 30 64 41 NW 7 2 2 4 W22 6053 W 9 48091 F 09/08-19 75 30 61 45 NW 8 4 4725 W 7 34212 P 09/08-20 75 30 57 51 N 9 4 3396 W 6 20333 P 09/08-21 75 30 54 56 N 10 1 2 4 W21 2067 W 3 6454 P 09/08-22 75 30 52 61 N 7 4 1595 SW 5 5443 P 09/08-23 75 30 51 63 NE 5 4 1124 SW 6 4432 P 09/09-00 73 6 49 67 E 2 5 2 1 W14 652 S 6 3421 P 09/09-01 73 6 49 67 CALM 1 907 S 7 5634 P 09/09-02 73 6 48 66 CALM 1 1161 S 7 7848 P 09/09-03 73 6 48 66 SW 3 6 2 1 W21 1416 SW 8 10061 P 09/09-04 73 6 47 70 W 5 1 1074 SW 8 7568 P 09/09-05 73 6 47 76 W 6 1 731 SW 8 5076 P 09/09-06 73 6 47 81 W 7 7 2 3 NW15 389 W 8 2583 P 09/09-07 73 6 47 80 SW 5 3 529 W 7 3021 P 09/09-08 73 6 50 71 S 3 3 723 W 7 3809 P 09/09-09 73 6 58 53 S 2 2 2 3 W 9 917 W 6 4597 P 09/09-10 73 6 63 44 S 3 3 2500 W 6 11692 P 09/09-11 73 6 66 40 SE 6 3 4084 W 6 18787 P 09/09-12 53 15 64 42 SE 8 8 2 3 W14 5668 W 6 25882 P 09/09-13 53 15 65 40 SE 8 3 5488 W 5 22291 P 09/09-14 53 15 66 38 SE 9 3 5307 SW 3 18700 P 09/09-15 53 15 67 37 SE 9 9 3 3 W17 5126 SW 3 15108 P 09/09-16 53 15 67 37 SE 10 3 4970 SW 3 15471 P 09/09-17 53 15 65 38 S 10 3 4815 SW 3 15833 P 09/09-18 55 20 65 38 S 10 10 2 3 NW18 4659 S 3 16196 P 09/09-19 55 20 62 43 S 8 3 3665 SW 6 14830 P 09/09-20 55 20 59 49 SW 7 3 2671 SW 7 13465 P 09/09-21 55 20 57 54 SW 6 6 2 3 NW14 1677 SW 8 12099 P 09/09-22 55 20 56 58 SW 7 3 1188 SW 8 8568 P 09/09-23 55 20 54 61 W 8 3 699 W 8 5037 P 09/10-00 55 0 52 68 W 9 9 3 1 W17 210 W 8 1506 P 09/10-01 55 0 50 71 W 9 1 186 W 8 1348 P 09/10-02 55 0 49 73 W 9 1 162 W 8 1190 P 09/10-03 55 0 48 75 W 10 10 3 1 W16 139 W 8 1032 P 09/10-04 55 0 47 74 W 10 1 138 W 9 1068 P 09/10-05 55 0 47 72 W 12 1 137 W 9 1105 P 09/10-06 49 0 47 70 W 12 12 3 1 W16 137 W 9 1141 P 09/10-07 49 0 48 64 W 9 1 416 W 8 2508 P 09/10-08 49 0 54 50 W 7 1 696 W 7 3875 P 09/10-09 49 0 59 40 W 5 5 2 1 W13 976 W 6 5241 P 09/10-10 49 0 65 31 NW 3 1 4312 W 7 31542 P 09/10-11 49 0 68 28 N 2 1 7648 W 8 57842 F 09/10-12 49 10 71 25 N 2 2 3 2 W13 10984 W 9 84143 G 09/10-13 49 10 72 23 N 2 2 11814 W 8 83797 G 09/10-14 49 10 73 23 N 2 2 12643 W 8 83451 G 09/10-15 49 10 74 23 NW 3 3 3 2 NW13 13473 W 7 83105 G 09/10-16 49 10 74 23 W 5 2 12623 W 10 107465 V 09/10-17 49 10 72 25 W 6 2 11774 NW 14 131824 V 09/10-18 49 10 72 25 W 6 6 2 2 NW18 10925 NW 16 156184 E 09/10-19 49 10 67 29 W 6 2 7382 NW 14 104756 V 09/10-20 49 10 62 33 W 6 2 3839 NW 10 53328 F 09/10-21 49 10 59 34 NW 5 5 3 2 NW17 295 NW 7 1900 P 09/10-22 49 10 57 36 NW 5 2 247 NW 7 1481 P 09/10-23 49 10 55 37 NW 5 2 199 NW 6 1061 P 09/11-00 38 0 51 41 NW 3 3 3 1 NW18 151 NW 5 642 P 09/11-01 38 0 49 44 NW 3 1 150 NW 5 639 P 09/11-02 38 0 47 47 NW 3 1 150 NW 5 635 P 09/11-03 38 0 45 50 NW 3 3 3 1 NW25 150 NW 5 632 P 09/11-04 38 0 44 50 NW 3 1 144 NW 5 570 P 09/11-05 38 0 44 50 NW 3 1 139 NW 5 509 P 09/11-06 50 0 44 51 NW 3 3 3 1 W24 133 NW 3 447 P 09/11-07 50 0 46 51 N 2 1 09/11-08 50 0 49 51 N 2 1 09/11-09 50 0 54 45 N 3 3 1 09/11-10 50 0 59 37 NE 5 1 09/11-11 50 0 62 33 SE 6 1 09/11-12 56 10 64 29 SE 7 7 09/11-13 56 10 65 27 S 8 09/11-14 56 10 66 26 S 8 09/11-15 56 10 67 25 S 8 8 09/11-16 56 10 67 25 S 8 09/11-17 56 10 65 27 SW 7 09/11-18 56 10 65 30 S 7 7 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CLIFTON DEWITT REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090908.DUNRA.01/BOU