FNUS73 KMQT 081127 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR METSER CEDAR...GLFFC/MIDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 727 AM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...EXPECT DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER ONTARIO SLOWLY MOVES TO THE EAST. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL VEER MAINLY SOUTHERLY BY WEDNESDAY. SUNSHINE AND MIXING WILL LOWER MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITES TO 40 TO 45 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL TRY TO PUSH SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT THESE WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE AS THEY MOVE INTO WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. POP-UP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF UPPER MICHIGAN...AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT OVER THE AREA... BUT WIDESPREAD RAIN IS NOT ANTICIPATED. TEMPERATURES WILL CHANGE LITTLE FROM THE PATTERN SEEN THE LAST WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL LOW TEMPERATURES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6...OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (229) AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR (289). MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3400-5300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........30 25 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............76 78 78 RH..............47 43 44 GENERAL WIND....SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 GENERAL GUST.... VINDX KT-FT/100.229 266 205 MIX HGT (FT)....4600 5300 3400 HAINES INDEX....6 5 5 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 55. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 95 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........14 14 14 14 14 14 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 65 60 59 57 55 RH..............52 73 86 87 88 94 GENERAL WIND....SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 GENERAL GUST.... 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100.20 0 40 48 40 26 MIX HGT (FT)....300 BLW100 300 300 300 200 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (437). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........14 20 29 35 38 41 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 64 70 75 77 76 RH..............92 79 66 54 52 55 GENERAL WIND....SE 6 SE 6 S 7 S 8 S 8 S 7 GENERAL GUST....10 10 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.28 75 246 416 413 274 MIX HGT (FT)....300 700 2200 4200 4100 2700 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...JLB REQUESTED BY...S LAKOSKY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090908.METSE.01/MQT