FNUS75 KRIW 091557 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BROWN FIRE...USFS BTF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 957 AM MDT WED SEP 9 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0917 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER WESTERN WYOMING THIS MORNING. THE RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TONIGHT AS A STRONG PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER. THE ASSOCIATED DRY SURFACE BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN WYOMING THURSDAY EVENING. COOLER TEMPERATURES...EAST WIND...AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED OVER WEST- CENTRAL WYOMING ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A RESULT OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A LIGHT RAIN SHOWER IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...CHURCH .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-71. MIN HUMIDITY........13-16 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (82600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-45. MAX HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4900-45900 KNOT-FT). .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77. MIN HUMIDITY........14-17 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (46700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (122500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS EAST 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS EAST 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...CHURCH REQUESTED BY...ROJO REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090909.LITTL.01/RIW