FNUS75 KBOU 111101 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNRAVEN FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 501 AM MDT FRI SEP 11 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL BRING EASTERLY WINDS TODAY. THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE ABOUT 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE 10-15% HIGHER. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN SATURDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68. MIN HUMIDITY........25-32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 3-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 4-10 MPH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43. MAX HUMIDITY........80-90%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 8-11 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 800-1800 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 3-8 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 8-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DUNRAVEN FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/11-04 39 5 52 40 W 12 1 177 NW 10 1636 P 09/11-05 39 5 51 40 W 10 1 188 NW 10 1638 P 09/11-06 24 0 51 41 W 10 10 3 1 NW16 199 NW 9 1641 P 09/11-07 24 0 51 44 NW 9 1 1453 NW 9 10519 P 09/11-08 24 0 52 44 N 9 1 2707 NW 9 19396 P 09/11-09 24 0 58 38 NE 9 9 2 1 NW21 3961 NW 8 28274 P 09/11-10 24 0 61 34 NE 9 1 4406 NW 8 30415 P 09/11-11 24 0 62 31 E 8 1 4851 W 8 32557 P 09/11-12 46 7 63 30 E 8 8 2 1 NW29 5297 W 8 34698 P 09/11-13 46 7 64 30 E 9 1 5387 W 7 30170 P 09/11-14 46 7 63 31 E 9 1 5476 W 6 25642 P 09/11-15 46 7 60 35 E 10 10 2 1 W37 5566 W 5 21113 P 09/11-16 46 7 59 37 E 10 1 5542 W 3 17190 P 09/11-17 46 7 58 38 E 10 1 5518 W 2 13266 P 09/11-18 46 7 56 41 SE 10 10 2 1 W39 5494 SW 2 9342 P 09/11-19 46 7 53 46 SE 9 1 4516 SW 5 13864 P 09/11-20 46 7 50 52 SE 8 1 3538 SE 8 18385 P 09/11-21 46 7 47 58 SE 7 7 2 1 W33 2560 SE 10 22907 P 09/11-22 46 7 45 63 S 7 1 2026 SE 9 17695 P 09/11-23 46 7 44 65 S 7 1 1492 S 9 12483 P 09/12-00 60 15 42 69 S 7 7 2 1 NW30 959 S 9 7271 P 09/12-01 60 15 41 70 S 6 1 875 S 7 5835 P 09/12-02 60 15 41 71 SW 6 1 791 S 6 4400 P 09/12-03 60 15 40 71 SW 5 5 2 1 NW22 707 S 5 2964 P 09/12-04 60 15 40 72 W 5 1 697 S 5 2781 P 09/12-05 60 15 39 75 W 3 1 686 SW 5 2599 P 09/12-06 74 17 39 78 W 3 3 2 1 NW21 676 SW 5 2416 P 09/12-07 74 17 39 82 NW 5 1 2216 SW 5 9873 P 09/12-08 74 17 41 79 N 5 1 3102 SW 5 13809 P 09/12-09 74 17 49 62 E 6 6 2 1 W28 3987 W 5 17746 P 09/12-10 74 17 53 54 E 7 1 4559 SW 6 21385 P 09/12-11 74 17 55 51 E 9 1 5130 SW 6 25024 P 09/12-12 82 46 54 54 E 10 10 2 2 W35 5701 SW 6 28663 P 09/12-13 82 46 55 53 E 9 2 5951 SW 8 40340 F 09/12-14 82 46 56 53 E 9 2 6201 S 9 52018 F 09/12-15 82 46 56 53 E 8 8 2 2 W29 6452 S 12 63696 G 09/12-16 82 46 56 54 E 7 2 6221 S 13 69246 G 09/12-17 82 46 55 56 E 5 2 5990 S 15 74797 G 09/12-18 82 30 55 57 E 3 3 2 1 W33 5760 S 16 80347 G 09/12-19 82 30 52 63 E 3 1 5177 S 17 75500 G 09/12-20 82 30 50 68 SE 5 1 4593 S 18 70652 G 09/12-21 82 30 48 71 SE 5 5 2 1 W40 4010 S 18 65804 G 09/12-22 82 30 47 75 SE 5 1 3411 S 18 54418 F 09/12-23 82 30 46 78 SE 3 1 2813 S 17 43032 F 09/13-00 66 20 44 84 S 3 3 2 1 SW18 2214 S 16 31647 P 09/13-01 66 20 43 85 S 3 1 1823 S 14 24039 P 09/13-02 66 20 42 85 S 3 1 1431 S 12 16432 P 09/13-03 66 20 42 85 SW 3 3 2 1 W47 1039 S 9 8824 P 09/13-04 66 20 41 84 SW 2 1 852 S 9 6793 P 09/13-05 66 20 41 82 W 2 1 664 S 8 4761 P 09/13-06 35 10 41 80 CALM 1 2 1 W46 477 SW 7 2730 P 09/13-07 35 10 42 79 CALM 1 808 SW 9 8142 P 09/13-08 35 10 47 67 CALM 1 1139 SW 13 13553 P 09/13-09 35 10 52 57 CALM 1 2 1 W40 1471 SW 15 18965 P 09/13-10 35 10 57 48 SE 2 1 2851 SW 17 45795 F 09/13-11 35 10 60 45 SE 6 1 4232 SW 18 72625 G 09/13-12 60 30 62 41 S 7 7 2 4 W33 5612 SW 21 99456 G 09/13-13 60 30 64 39 S 7 4 5923 SW 20 98315 G 09/13-14 60 30 65 38 S 7 4 6233 SW 18 97175 G 09/13-15 60 30 66 37 S 7 7 2 4 W31 6543 SW 17 96035 G 09/13-16 60 30 65 38 S 7 4 6408 SW 16 88583 G 09/13-17 60 30 64 39 S 7 4 6273 SW 15 81132 G 09/13-18 60 30 64 39 S 6 6 2 4 W23 6138 SW 14 73680 G 09/13-19 60 30 61 42 S 6 4 4406 SW 12 50856 F 09/13-20 60 30 58 46 SW 5 4 2674 SW 9 28032 P 09/13-21 60 30 56 47 SW 5 5 2 4 W14 941 SW 7 5208 P 09/13-22 60 30 55 49 SW 6 4 703 SW 7 4095 P 09/13-23 60 30 53 50 W 8 4 465 W 8 2982 P 09/14-00 30 0 51 53 W 9 9 2 1 S13 226 W 9 1868 P 09/14-01 30 0 49 54 W 10 1 220 W 9 1760 P 09/14-02 30 0 48 55 W 10 1 213 W 9 1651 P 09/14-03 30 0 47 56 W 12 12 2 1 S21 207 W 8 1543 P 09/14-04 30 0 47 56 W 12 1 204 W 8 1507 P 09/14-05 30 0 47 55 W 10 1 200 W 8 1472 P 09/14-06 30 0 46 54 W 10 10 2 1 S21 197 W 8 1436 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090910.DUNRA.01/BOU