FNUS75 KGJT 101600
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR PAW RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1000 AM MDT THU SEP 10 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0935 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MODERATE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE TODAY TO PRODUCE
SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER THE FIRE SITE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BECOME RECENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN FRIDAY
BRINGING A SLIGHTLY DRIER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. HOWEVER ENOUGH RESIDUAL
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
...ALTHOUGH AREAL COVERAGE SHOULD BE SLIGHTLY LESS THAN TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) SOME PARTIAL CLEARING LATE
                    THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH WITH A FEW AFTERNOON
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY (50-60%) THEN DECREASING
                    CLOUDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY (SOUTHEAST) 3-6 MPH
                    AFTER 2100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR AFTER 2000.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY MORNING (20-30%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%) AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH WITH A FEW
                    AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...DAN HUISJEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090910.BEARP.01/GJT