FNUS75 KPUB 111525
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JOHNSON GULCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
925 AM MDT FRI SEP 11 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT HAS PASSED OVER PLAINS OF EASTERN COLORADO. AS THE
COLD AIR DEEPENS BEHIND THE FRONT...EXPECT THE WINDS TO GRADUALLY
TURN TO THE EAST...STARTING AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. THE AIRMASS
INITIALLY WILL NOT BE VERY MOIST SO LOW CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL BE LIMITED.

TONIGHT...AS THE MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW DEEPENS...LOW CLOUDS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG WITH SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.  WETTING RAINS
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE SHOWERS.

ON SATURDAY...A SECONDARY SURGE OF UPSLOPE ALONG WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS OVER THE REGION. THE LOW CLOUDS AND
AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE...WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND MAYBE A
THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.  SHOWERS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
WETTING RAINS.

OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
...FOR PLANNING PURPOSE ONLY...
THE UPSLOPE FLOW WILL WEAKEN ON SUNDAY...BUT SOME LOWER LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA. WITH WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING
OVER THE AREA...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(42 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    TURNING EAST 10-20 MPH STARTING AT LOWER ELEVATIONS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN EAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(68 PERCENT). NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2400...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44F.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    EAST 4-8MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFTER
                    1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52F.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST -48 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 10
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...WOLYN
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090911.JOHNS.01/PUB