FNUS75 KTWC 111816 FWSTWC SPOT FORECAST FOR MARTINEZ RANCH ROAD...AZ-ASF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 1115 AM MST FRI SEP 11 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1105 MST ON SEPTEMBER 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE BURN AREA. RECENT SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED THAT THIS ACTIVITY WAS TRACKING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HANNAGAN MEADOW LODGE AREA AT 11 AM MST. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS GENERATED BY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON...THIS COULD HAPPEN AS EARLY AS 2 PM MST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DISSIPATING AROUND SUNSET WITH THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ENDING BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. AFTER TODAY...A STRONG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE GREAT BASIN LATE THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL RESULT IN A DRYING TREND ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. HOWEVER...ENOUGH MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN TO WARRANT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81 TO 86 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY........28 TO 38 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. LAL.................2 TIL 2PM MST...THEN 3. CHANCE OF RAIN......40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60 DEGS. MAX HUMIDITY........70 TO 75 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................TIL 12 AM MST 3...THEN 1. CHANCE OF RAIN......40 PERCENT TIL 12AM MST...THEN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....81 TO 86 DEGS. MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 TIL NOON MST...THEN 3. CHANCE OF RAIN......10 PERCENT TIL NOON MST...THEN 30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. $$ FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER REQUESTED BY...ZACK HOLDER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090911.MARTI.01/TWC