FNUS73 KAPX 112018 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR VOYER BOG...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 418 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...OVERALL HIGH PRESSURE TO DOMINATE THE GREAT LAKES REGION THIS WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE RAIN FREE CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER SATURDAY COMPARED TO FRIDAY NEAR BURN AREA...AS CLOUD COVER OVER THE EASTERN LAKES TONIGHT HINDERS FOG AND LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 79. RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR (200). TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........28 19 19 19 19 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............73 75 76 77 77 RH..............62 54 50 48 48 20 FT WIND DIR..NW W NW NW N 20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISP......200 200 100 100 100 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52. RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........19 50 50 50 54 54 WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG TEMP............75 69 62 57 56 54 RH..............54 70 87 100 96 96 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 2 NW 2 W 1 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 3 3 SMOKE DISP......100 100 0 0 0 0 .SUNDAY... TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM TEMP............53 58 70 73 RH..............100 96 81 79 20 FT WIND......W 2G5 NW 3G5 NW 5G10 NW 6G10 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT ROZANSKI REQUESTED BY...R MCKENZIE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090912.VOYER.01/APX