FNUS75 KGJT 121545 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE CANYON...BLM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 945 AM MDT SAT SEP 12 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0904 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING WEST INTO WYOMING FROM THE PLAINS WILL NOT HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON THE FIRE SITE TODAY. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT FOR DAYTIME HEATING TO TRIGGER SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE THEN INCREASES ON SUNDAY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHEN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25%) UNTIL 1300...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500 MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F. MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNCANYON 1-3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 3-6 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14300 FT AGL BY 1500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) UNTIL 2100...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F. MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 3-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR BY 2200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNCANYON 5 MPH AFTER 2200. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) UNTIL 1200 THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F. MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNCANYON 2-4 MPH SHIFTING TO UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 3-5 MPH BY 1200. AFTER 1300...SOUTHWEST 7-10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH AFTER 1200. $$ FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS REQUESTED BY...TIM FILIPPONE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090912.BLUEC.01/GJT