FNUS76 KPQR 121727
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRENCH CREEK...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1027 AM PDT SAT SEP 12 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0956 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 2 AM SUNDAY MORNING FOR
HOT...VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS...FOLLOWED BY THE POSSIBILITY
OF DRY LIGHTNING DEVELOPING BY THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL TROUGH REMAINS WEST OF THE CASCADES THIS
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE HAS WEAKENED EAST OF THE CASCADES...CAUSING
OFFSHORE FLOW TO DECREASE SOMEWHAT. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL
GRADUALLY MIGRATE EASTWARD ACROSS THE CASCADES THIS AFTERNOON...
CAUSING VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE HAINES 6-TYPE CONDITIONS. AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES IN
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY DRY...FOR THE FIRE AREA. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES CONTINUE FOR THE CASCADES SUNDAY...BUT GREATER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE THE POSSIBILITY FOR RAIN TO REACH THE
GROUND FROM THESE STORMS. COOLER WEATHER WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY.

CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN (CWR) 0.25 INCHES OR GREATER.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.


.REST OF TODAY (12 SEPT)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A COUPLE AFTERNOON CUMULUS
                    BUILDUPS DEVELOPING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 3-7 MPH WITH MORNING GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
                    WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE 2-6 MPH BY 1300...THEN
                    EVENTUALLY BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 1-3 MPH WITH MORNING GUSTS TO 8 MPH.
                    WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE 0-3 MPH BY 1300...THEN
                    EVENTUALLY BECOMING WEST 1-3 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).

TIME (PDT)      10 AM     NOON      2 PM      4 PM      6 PM
TEMP............71        81        86        90        90
RH..............32        23        19        17        17
20 FT WIND......E 2-5     E-SE 2-4  SE-S 3-5  S-SW 3-6  W-SW 3-6
   MAX GUST.....10        8         8         10        12
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 1-3     E-SE 0-2  SE-S 1-2  S-SW 1-3  W-SW 1-3
   MAX GUST.....6         5         5         5         7


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...
                    MAINLY DRY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2-5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING DOWN-DRAINAGE OR SOUTHEAST 0-3 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 1-2 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING DOWN-DRAINAGE OR SOUTHEAST 0-1 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE)...BECOMING 4 (LOW).


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 0-2 MPH EARLY...THEN
                    INCREASING UPSLOPE 2-6 MPH BY MIDDAY. WINDS
                    EVENTUALLY BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5-10
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH DEVELOPING LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NEARLY CALM EARLY...THEN INCREASING UPSLOPE
                    WINDS 1-2 MPH BY MIDDAY. WINDS EVENTUALLY
                    BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 2-4 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 10 MPH DEVELOPING LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WEAGLE
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN KENNEDY
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090912.FRENC.01/PQR